July’s surge in seed activity brought more than capital, it offered a fresh playbook for what’s getting funded, who’s cutting the checks, and how top founders are structuring their early rounds. If you’re considering a raise or just monitoring deal flow, here’s how the market is moving, what it means for you, and how to spot the new rules of engagement in a competitive climate.
The U.S. continues to dominate, accounting for nearly half a billion in seed dollars, with California and New York remaining magnets for ambitious founders seeking capital and connections. San Francisco and NYC led at the city level, with Toronto, Shanghai, and Hangzhou also seeing major checks, proof that seed money is more international, but still gravitates to proven tech centers.
Industry-wise, Artificial Intelligence blew every other sector out of the water, not just in deal count but in total money captured (nearly $478M across 89 deals). Next up were health care, biotech, manufacturing, and robotics, areas where investors see room for deep tech and defensible IP.
Most deals stayed below the $5M line (68% of the market), with 88% under $10M. But outliers made waves, most notably TARS ($122M, autonomous vehicles/logistics), Genesis AI ($105M, AI/robotics), and Tala Health ($100M, clinical AI/personal health). If you’re not building in AI, robotics, or biotech, expect to raise closer to the median ($3M); deep tech/science founders can land outsize rounds, if you’ve got the team and traction.
Two realities stood out this month:
About half of rounds were true first institutional checks (median: $2.7M), while the rest were “seed extensions” or follow-on capital (median: $3.5M). Investors showed just a slight tilt toward companies already demonstrating progress, and these follow-ons commanded larger checks.
Bottom line for founders: Be clear about your proof of traction, bring in multiple lead investors for ambitious raises, and if you’re in AI or biotech, the window for larger seeds is very much open.
This is a functional model you can use to create your own formulas and project your potential business growth. Instructions on how to use it are on the front page.
